Covid-19 growth rate ‘slows down’ in Metro Manila – OCTA – Manila Bulletin


Covid-19 growth rate ‘slows down’ in Metro Manila – OCTA

(DR GUIDO DAVID / TWITTER)

OCTA member Dr. Guido David said on Tuesday, July 12 that Covid-19 cases in Metro Manila “may be about to peak, or may have already peaked”, based on slower growth in the central region over the past week.

In an update shared on Twitter, David noted that the weekly growth rate in Metro Manila fell from 57% on July 4 to 32% on July 11.

Meanwhile, the reproduction number – or the average number of secondary infections per each infected individual – fell from 1.59 on July 1 to 1.47 on July 8.

The region’s positivity as of July 10 was 10.9%. The positivity rate refers to the number of individuals who tested positive among those who were tested for Covid-19.

Additionally, Metro Manila averaged 710 cases over the past week. This equates to an average daily attack rate of 4.93 per day per 100,000 population, he added.

Meanwhile, the region’s healthcare utilization rate increased to 28%, while the intensive care utilization rate was 20%.

“Indicators show a slowing in the growth rate of cases and there is a chance that cases in the NCR [National Capital Region] are peaking or have already peaked,” David said.

“The trends should be clearer after a week,” he added.

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